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Ipsos Poll Suggests Cannabis, Abortion Ballot Measures Not Certain of Success in Florida

A recently conducted Ipsos poll has found that one-half of Floridians would vote to approve an abortion ballot initiative. The poll included 316 independents, 264 Democrats, and 369 GOP members. It was carried out April 5–7, 2024, with a margin of error of 4.1%.

The survey include more than 1,000 adults in Florida, determining that 16% of them were unsure of their positions and/or hadn’t registered to vote. An additional one-third revealed that they were against the amendment on abortion. The poll also found that 49% of Floridians were in favor of a cannabis amendment.

Those championing for recreational cannabis legalization and abortion rights in Florida will have to work harder, especially since Floridians are expected to vote on proposed amendments regarding these issues this November. For these proposals to be enacted, they must receive at least 60% of votes.

As per the poll results on those who were in favor of the abortion proposal, champions will need at least 10 percentage points more to get the proposal approved. To do this, they’ll have to convince voters while also informing them in the coming months about what the amendments entail.

According to the poll, only about one-half of adults in the state were familiar with the abortion initiative, with 54% of them saying the same about the cannabis measure. The abortion initiative is expected to garner a lot of attention in the state, particularly since Florida’s Supreme Court recently gave the go ahead on a six-week abortion ban. If the abortion initiative is approved by voters, access to abortion would be guaranteed until fetal viability, which is basically until 24 weeks.

It would also permit abortions when necessary to protect the health of a patient, as advised by a healthcare practitioner. The group campaigning for the initiative, Floridians Protecting Freedom, has thus far raised almost $20 million from different abortion-rights groups.

The poll shows that 74% of Democrats were in favor of the abortion proposal, while 17% were against it. In addition, 52% of Independents were also in favor of the proposal while 28% were against it. As for GOP Party members, 58% were against the proposal while 34% were in favor of its approval.

With regard to the cannabis measure, its passage would permit individuals aged 21 years and older to possess up to five grams of marijuana concentrate and up to three ounces of marijuana. The measure’s campaign is being led by Smart & Safe Florida. The group has so far raised almost $55 million, most of which has been spent on signature collection.

Florida governor Ron DeSantis and other GOP members oppose both measures, which may negatively influence the passage of both measures by voters.

Companies that are behind the adult-use legalization initiative, such as Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (CSE: TRUL) (OTCQX: TCNNF), have their work cut out if they are to mobilize a sufficient number of voters to pass the measure at the ballot.

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